Alternative Premier League table after 35 games, based on expected goals

Alternative Premier League table after 35 games, based on expected goals
This Premier League season is set to be thrill a minute until the final whistle is blown with yet another barnstorming set of fixtures across the Bank Holiday.Manchester City got another win against a stubborn, top-four chasing Tottenham Hotspur side, while Liverpool hit back with a victory over Cardiff City on Sunday.7

Phil Foden celebrates his goal which won Man City the game against Tottenham

This ensures the title race continues to enthral, with City playing rivals Man United on Wednesday in their game in hand, while Arsenal blew their chance to go third by losing 3-2 to Crystal Palace.Meanwhile, at the other end of the table, Brighton & Hove Albion kept their survival hopes up by drawing 0-0 with Wolverhampton Wanderers, who lost ground to Everton in the race for seventh spot.Some results were deserved, others less so. But how would the Premier League table look if it was based on results calculated by ‘Expected Goals’? Here at talkSPORT.com were always keeping an eye onUnderstat.com to see how clubs are performing based on their xG stats.Find out how the stats believe the Premier League SHOULD be shaping up below

What is expected goals?

• Expected goals (xG) is a statistic used to work out how many goals should be scored in a match.
• Every single shot is awarded an xG value based on the difficulty of the attempt, with factors including distance from goal, type of shot and number of defenders present affecting the value.
• The higher the xG of a particular shot, the more likely a goal should be scored from that shot.
• The xG value of every shot in a game is then used to calculate the expected goals in a particular match.

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20. Huddersfield – Real position = 20Games played – 35Real points = 14 | Expected points = 27.7519. Fulham – Real position = 19Games played – 35Real points = 23 | Expected points = 32.1818. Brighton & Hove Albion – Real position = 17Games played – 34Real points = 34 | Expected points = 32.207

Brighton & Hove Albion fans celebrate their draw with Wolves

17. Cardiff City – Real position = 18Games played – 35Real points = 31 | Expected points = 33.1016. Newcastle United – Real position = 13Games played – 35Real points = 41 | Expected points = 34.8915. West Ham – Real position = 11Games played – 35Real points = 43 | Expected points = 37.877

West Ham players look dejected after Leicester City’s late equaliser on Saturday.

14. Burnley – Real position = 15Games played – 34Real points = 39 | Expected points = 39.9613. Southampton – Real position = 16Games played – 34Real points = 36 | Expected points = 39.9912. Watford – Real position = 8Games played – 34Real points = 49 | Expected points = 43.84

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• Tottenham vs Brighton (Tuesday, 7:45pm) – talkSPORT
• Luton vs AFC Wimbledon (Tuesday, 7:45pm) – talkSPORT 2
• Sheffield United vs Ipswich (Saturday, 5:15pm) – talkSPORT 2
• Brighton vs Newcastle (Saturday, 5:30pm) – talkSPORT
• Norwich vs Blackburn (Saturday, 7:30pm) – talkSPORT 2
• Leeds United vs Aston Villa (Sunday, 12pm) – talkSPORT 2
• Coventry vs Shrewsbury (Sunday, 3pm) – talkSPORT 2

11. Bournemouth – Real position = 14Games played – 34Real points = 41 | Expected points = 47.0010. Crystal Palace – Real position = 12Games played – 35Real points = 42 | Expected points = 47.74Getty7

Wilfried Zaha celebrates scoring against Arsenal.

9. Everton – Real position = 7Games played – 35Real points = 49 | Expected points = 48.608. Leicester – Real position = 9Games played – 35Real points = 48 | Expected points = 52.017. Wolverhampton Wanderers – Real position = 10Games played – 34Real points = 48 | Expected points = 52.746. Arsenal – Real position = 4Games played – 34Real points = 66 | Expected points = 53.727

Arsenal’s Spanish head coach Unai Emery gestures from the touchline.

5. Manchester United – Real position = 6Games played – 34Real points = 64 | Expected points = 56.004. Tottenham – Real position = 3Games played – 34Real points = 67 | Expected points = 56.787

Tottenham Hotspur’s players react at the final whistle against Manchester City.

3. Chelsea – Real position = 5Games played – 34Real points = 66 | Expected points = 63.302. Liverpool – Real position = 1Games played – 35Real points = 88 | Expected points = 77.007

Liverpool players celebrate Georginio Wijnaldum’s goal.

1. Manchester City – Real position = 2Games played – 34Real points = 86 | Expected points = 82.17

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But how would the Premier League table look if it was based on results calculated by 'Expected Goals'? Here at talkSPORT.com we're always keeping an eye on Understat.com to see how clubs are performing based on their xG stats. Find out how the stats believe the Premier League SHOULD be shaping up below…
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Expected goals (xG) is a statistic used to work out how many goals should be scored in a match. Every single shot is awarded an xG value based on the difficulty of the attempt, with factors including distance from goal, type of shot and number of defenders present affecting the value.
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